Isoko nibisabwa byugarije ibiciro byibyuma bidahuye biteganijwe ko byiyongera

Mu biruhuko by'Ibiruhuko, ibicuruzwa mpuzamahanga bihagarariwe na peteroli ya peteroli n'umuringa wa Londres byagaragaje imikorere ikomeye muri rusange, mu gihe ubukerarugendo bwo mu gihugu ndetse n'amashusho y’ibiro by’amafirime nabyo byagaragaje imikorere ikomeye, bituma isoko ritegereza ibyiringiro by’ibiciro by’icyuma mu gihugu nyuma y’ibiruhuko. Ku ya 18 Gashyantare, isoko ryibyuma byafunguwe neza nkuko byari byateganijwe, ariko ejo hazaza h'inyuma ya rebar na hot-coil yerekanaga uburyo bwo gufungura no gufunga buke kumunsi wambere wubucuruzi nyuma yikiruhuko. Mu kurangiza, amasezerano yingenzi ya rebar na hot-roll coil yafunze 1.07% na 0,88%, hamwe na amplitude yo muminsi irenga 2%. Ku ntege nke zitunguranye zumunsi wibiruhuko byicyuma, umwanditsi yizera ko impamvu nyamukuru zishobora guterwa ningingo ebyiri zikurikira:

Umuvuduko wo kongera isoko ryimigabane wagabanutse

Dushubije amaso inyuma ku isoko kuva umwaka watangira, rebar na A-imigabane ni ubwoko bubiri bwumutungo wagize ingaruka zikomeye kubintu bya macroeconomic. Ibiciro bigenda byombi byerekana isano ikomeye, kandi A-imigabane ifata umwanya wiganje. Kuva mu ntangiriro z'umwaka kugeza mu ntangiriro za Gashyantare, Igipimo cya Shanghai Composite Index cyakomeje guhinduka, kandi ejo hazaza h'ibihe byakurikiyeho, ariko ubunini bwari buto cyane ku isoko ry'imigabane. Kuva Shanghai Composite Index yagera hasi ku ya 5 Gashyantare, isoko rya rebar naryo ryahagaze neza kandi ryongera kwiyongera, hamwe no kugaruka kwinshi kurenza isoko ryimigabane. Kuva ku ya 5 Gashyantare kugeza ku ya 19 Gashyantare, Indangamanota ya Shanghai yazamutseho amanota 275, kandi nyuma yo kongera kwiyongera mu bihe byashize, yegereye urwego rukomeye rw'umuvuduko w'iminsi 60. Kurwanya gukomeza gucamo mugihe gito byiyongereye. Ni muri urwo rwego, ejo hazaza h'ibyuma byakomeje gucogora hamwe n’umuvuduko wa A-imigabane, hamwe n’ibicuruzwa bigufi byagabanutse kandi bisohoka mbere yuko ibiruhuko byiyongera, bituma isoko rihinduka kuva kuzamuka no kugabanuka.

Isoko nibisabwa biri mubyiciro bibiri bidakomeye

Kugeza ubu, gukoresha ibyuma biracyari mu gihe kitari gito, kandi hamwe n’ingaruka z’ikiruhuko cy’ibiruhuko, icyifuzo cy’icyuma kiracyari hasi cyane muri uyu mwaka. Ukurikije uburambe bwashize, ibarura ryibyuma byose bizakomeza kwegeranya ibihe mugihe cyibyumweru 4-5 biri imbere. Nubwo ibarura ryubu rishyushye rishyushye hamwe na rebar biri hasi cyane ugereranije na kalendari ya Geregori, niba harebwa ibintu byumunsi mukuru wimpeshyi, ni ukuvuga, ukurikije kalendari yukwezi, ibarura rusange ryakozwe na rebar ryabajijwe kandi ubarwa ni toni miliyoni 10.5672, kwiyongera hafi 9,93% ugereranije nigihe kimwe cyumwaka ushize. Umuvuduko wibikoresho bishyushye bishyushye ni bito, hamwe nibarura rusange rya toni miliyoni 3.885, byiyongereyeho 5.85% umwaka ushize. Mbere yuko icyifuzo gitangizwa rwose kandi kubara bikagabanuka, kubara cyane ibyuma birashobora kubangamira izamuka ryibiciro. Kuva mu myaka yashize, izamuka ryibiciro byibyuma nyuma yiminsi mikuru yimpeshyi mubisanzwe biterwa nibiteganijwe na macro aho kuba shingiro, kandi biteganijwe ko uyumwaka utazaba uwundi.

Nubwo ejo hazaza h'ibyuma bitageze ku ntangiriro nziza kumunsi wambere wubucuruzi nyuma yikiruhuko, umwanditsi aracyafite imyumvire mike yicyerekezo cyibiciro byibyuma, cyane cyane rebar, mubyiciro byanyuma. Ku rwego rwa macro, muri iki gihe cy’ingutu muri rusange ku izamuka ry’ubukungu, isoko rifite ibyifuzo byinshi byo gushyira mu bikorwa politiki y’ubukungu. Mugihe gito, hamwe nibintu shingiro bisa, ibyifuzo bikomeye byitezwe kuba logique nyamukuru yubucuruzi bwisoko. Kuruhande rwibitangwa nibisabwa, ibyuma nibisabwa bizagenda byiyongera buhoro buhoro nyuma yikiruhuko, kandi hagomba kwitabwaho umuvuduko wo kugarura ibicuruzwa nibisabwa. Itandukaniro riri hagati yibi byombi rishobora guhinduka intumbero yumukino muremure w'isoko mugihe kizaza. Ukurikije ikirangaminsi cy'ukwezi, umusaruro wa buri cyumweru wa rebar uri munsi ya 15.44% ugereranije nigihe cyashize umwaka ushize, naho icyumweru cyo gukora ibicuruzwa bishyushye ni 3.28% ugereranije nigihe cyashize umwaka ushize. Ukurikije imibare, inyungu iriho ya rebar hamwe nudupapuro dushyushye twakozwe nubuyobozi bwuruganda rukora ibyuma